📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
January 16, 2026 at 12:42 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #245674
+36.8% ROI

ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez 36.8% ROI - Polyburg[Side: Baez]

On January 16, 2026 at 12:42 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the high-stakes ASB Classic match between Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez. This timely alert, generated from our 24/7 monitoring of elite wallet tcp2, was sparked by Baez's unexpected victory. Despite Shelton's status as a heavy favorite, Baez's win led to a 36.8% ROI, with tcp2 securing a profit of $3,456.22 from a $9,402.92 investment. This outcome underscores the precision of our AI-driven predictions, marking another success for the surveillance of top-performing traders on Polymarket.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+36.8%
Profit/Loss
$3,456.22
Investment
$9,402.92
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
tcp2
0x6b7c75...6c5f83

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The ASB Classic match between Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez captivated the attention of many, especially given its surprising resolution. Despite Shelton's overwhelming odds as the top seed, Baez emerged victorious, a result not immediately reflected in Polymarket's initial post-match probability. This discrepancy highlighted the complexities and unique opportunities within prediction markets. The interest in this match was further fueled by the track record of tcp2, an elite trader with a 36.8% ROI in this instance. At Polyburg, we've dedicated resources to track traders like tcp2 due to consistent profitability and a remarkable ability to anticipate market shifts. Our AI detected significant position sizing and a perfect conviction score, indicating a high confidence level in Baez despite pre-match odds favoring Shelton. These insights are indispensable in navigating volatile markets and enhancing prediction accuracy. Polyburg continuously monitors such opportunities, leveraging state-of-the-art algorithms to track and analyze elite traders' strategies. Our methodology, focusing on risk-adjusted ROI and other metrics, ensures high-quality insights and results. For more on how we operate, visit our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 99+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking tcp2, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 16, 2026 at 12:42 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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