POLITICS_PREDICTIONS

Learn from successful political prediction trades. Real performance data from elections, policy outcomes, and geopolitical events on Polymarket.

Total Case Studies
143
Avg ROI
+178.4%
Total Profit
$3,722,563.43
📈

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?

Mar 1, 2026

On February 7, 2026 at 09:32 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? This alert came from tracking lava-lava, one of the elite wallets ...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+21.9%
ROI
$2,574.55
📈

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Mar 1, 2026

On February 23, 2026 at 02:47 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? This alert came from tracking classified, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+58.8%
ROI
$2,426.75
📈

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Feb 27, 2026

On February 24, 2026, at 03:55 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the prediction market "Will Trump say 'The State of the Union is strong' during the 2026 State of the Union address?" Thi...

PoliticsTrumpstate of the union
+24.4%
ROI
$347.54
📈

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Feb 27, 2026

On February 20, 2026 at 06:33 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?'. This alert originated from tracking Car, one of ...

PoliticsCultureTim Walz
+39.5%
ROI
$980.89
📈

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Feb 27, 2026

On February 23, 2026 at 02:16 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the potential market prediction: US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?. This alert originated from tracking a classified e...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+271.1%
ROI
$7,057.74
📈

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Feb 26, 2026

On February 20, 2026 at 01:55 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? This critical update highlighted insights from 'classified,' one of the elite wallet...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+1314.7%
ROI
$14,284.24
📈

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Feb 25, 2026

On February 21, 2026, at 07:04 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market "US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?". This crucial alert was derived from tracking 'classified', one of the...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+122.2%
ROI
$3,263.17
📈

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Feb 17, 2026

On February 14, 2026 at 07:24 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?' This alert came from tracking ArmageddonRewardsBilly, one of the elite...

PoliticsTrumpCongress
+45.1%
ROI
$1,261.5
📈

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Feb 17, 2026

On February 5, 2026 at 10:11 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? This alert came from tracking tunatyler, one of the elite wallets in our monit...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+22.9%
ROI
$3,016.75
📈

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?

Feb 16, 2026

On February 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026? This alert was generated from tracking Armaged...

PoliticsTrumpApproval
+30.3%
ROI
$603.48
📈

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Feb 16, 2026

On February 10, 2026 at 07:39 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?'. This came from tracking Car, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system, ...

PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics
+89.0%
ROI
$4,083.66
📈

Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?

Feb 15, 2026

On February 8, 2026 at 02:48 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote? This alert came from tracking CoffeeLover, one of the elite wallets in our monito...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+31.6%
ROI
$3,671.83
📈

Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?

Feb 15, 2026

On February 11, 2026, at 04:19 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?' This alert came from tracking Car, one of the elite wallets in our monitor...

PoliticsIranTrump
+73.7%
ROI
$810.46
📈

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Feb 15, 2026

On January 30, 2026, at 11:52 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market: 'Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?' This alert came from tracking TealV, one of the elite wall...

Gov ShutdownPoliticsTrump
+55.5%
ROI
$23,546.71
📈

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Feb 13, 2026

On February 6, 2026 at 09:21 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? leveraging insights from elite trader Dropper. This alert highlighted the resolution...

PoliticsIranTrump
+52.9%
ROI
$3,706.11
📈

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Feb 13, 2026

On January 29, 2026, at 07:31 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?' This alert was triggered by scottilicious, one of ...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+40.5%
ROI
$13,403.76
📈

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Feb 11, 2026

On February 2, 2026, at 02:04 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?' This alert came from tracking CoffeeLover, one of ...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+3887.0%
ROI
$42,629.09
📈

Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?

Feb 10, 2026

On February 4, 2026 at 04:43 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?'. This alert came from tracking 'debased', one of the elite...

PoliticsIranTrump
+81.2%
ROI
$1,298.44
📈

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Feb 10, 2026

On January 22, 2026, at 05:01 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market, 'Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?' This alert was generated by tracking '...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+24.4%
ROI
$3,280.15
📈

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Feb 9, 2026

On February 5, 2026 at 12:49 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the Polymarket 'US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?' prediction. This alert, derived from tracking 'Car', one of our elite...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+29.6%
ROI
$320.04
📈

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

Feb 9, 2026

On February 7, 2026 at 08:53 AM, Polyburg sent an alert about the market 'Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?'. This alert came from tracking DumplingBMF, one of the elite wallets in our mon...

PoliticsUkraineGeopolitics
+26.3%
ROI
$3,129.1
📈

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Feb 8, 2026

On February 4, 2026 at 09:22 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? This alert originated from Car, an elite wallet with a track record of strong perfo...

PoliticsIranTrump
+27.3%
ROI
$713.13
📈

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Feb 8, 2026

On February 6, 2026 at 12:49 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Nothing Ever Happens: February. This alert came from tracking Roflan-ludoman, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring sy...

PoliticsGeopoliticsParlays
+85.9%
ROI
$5,060.76
📈

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 6, 2026

On January 7, 2026, at 04:10 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?'. Our tracking of the elite trader 'classified' revealed a remarkable ROI of 388....

PoliticsGazaIran
+388.6%
ROI
$4,637.67
📈

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Feb 5, 2026

On January 31, 2026 at 09:52 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the potential US strikes on Iran by February 2, 2026. As tensions remained high, the prediction market resolved to 'no' sin...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+26.6%
ROI
$305.01
📈

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?

Feb 5, 2026

On February 3, 2026 at 05:18 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?' This alert came from tracking aenews2, one of the...

PoliticsTrumpEpstein
+169.8%
ROI
$1,981.96
📈

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

Feb 5, 2026

On January 24, 2026 at 10:02 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?' This alert, from the monitoring of Kickstand7's elite wallet,...

PoliticsCongressGov Shutdown
+42.3%
ROI
$7,607.62
📈

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Feb 5, 2026

On January 18, 2026 at 07:54 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?'. This alert stemmed from monitoring 🤺JustWakingUp, a notable elite trader in our sy...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+40.8%
ROI
$3,538.1
📈

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Feb 5, 2026

On January 30, 2026 at 04:54 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?'. The alert came from tracking Car, one of the elite wallets in our monitori...

PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump
+60.4%
ROI
$3,785.44
📈

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Feb 5, 2026

On February 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' The alert was triggered by insights from Dropper, an elite wallet monit...

PoliticsTrumpEconomy
+35.5%
ROI
$1,722.92
📈

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Feb 4, 2026

On February 2, 2026 at 04:51 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? This alert came from tracking CoffeeL...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+1106.5%
ROI
$23,798.61
📈

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 4, 2026

On January 10, 2026 at 11:08 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? While tensions were high, the market resolved as 'No' when no strikes occurred by the ...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+69.7%
ROI
$10,971.81
📈

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 31, 2026 at 04:40 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market 'Iran strike on US military by January 31?' This alert was based on insights from 🤺JustWakingUp, one of the eli...

PoliticsIranTrump
+23.8%
ROI
$1,972.52
📈

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 23, 2026 at 08:30 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the potential for US strikes on Iran by January 31, 2026. This alert originated from tracking tunatyler, one of the elite w...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+34.5%
ROI
$1,265
📈

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 11, 2026 at 09:29 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? This alert came from tracking betwick, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring syst...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+66.1%
ROI
$59,620.63
📈

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 11, 2026 at 12:27 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market 'Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?' This alert came from tracking NostraDegenus, one of the eli...

IranMiddle EastWorld
+66.5%
ROI
$12,002.19
📈

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 9, 2026 at 08:48 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?' This alert was generated by tracking 'classified,' one of the elite wallets in...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+92.9%
ROI
$6,373.98
📈

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 17, 2026, at 08:53 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers concerning the market 'US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?'. This alert came from tracking Big.Chungus, one of the elite wallet...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+35.1%
ROI
$1,882.51
📈

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 20, 2026, at 04:03 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market: Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by January 31? Despite oral arguments occurring in November, th...

PoliticsTrumpCourts
+50.6%
ROI
$929.41
📈

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Feb 3, 2026

On January 11, 2026 at 07:27 PM, Polyburg alerted subscribers about the 'US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?' market. Despite heightened tensions, a strike did not occur by the deadline, and the mark...

PoliticsIranMiddle East
+42.1%
ROI
$7,628.51
📈

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Feb 2, 2026

On January 16, 2026 at 11:23 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Nothing Ever Happens: January. This timely notification highlighted Roflan-ludoman, an elite trader with a track record of ...

PoliticsGeopoliticsParlays
+31.5%
ROI
$11,203.25
📈

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Feb 1, 2026

On January 30, 2026 at 06:05 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?' This timely alert was based on tracking the elite trader 'Car.' The marke...

PoliticsGazaMiddle East
+26.2%
ROI
$264.97
📈

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?

Feb 1, 2026

On January 25, 2026 at 04:02 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28? This alert came from tracking aenews2, one of the e...

PoliticsTrumpEpstein
+32.6%
ROI
$4,970.98
📈

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Feb 1, 2026

On January 25, 2026, at 03:41 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?' This update followed DOJ's major release announc...

PoliticsTrumpEpstein
+53.4%
ROI
$1,968.88
📈

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Feb 1, 2026

On January 30, 2026, at 04:13 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the 'U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?' market. This alert came from tracking Car, one of the elite wallets in our sys...

PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics
+303.0%
ROI
$4,948.6
📈

Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?

Feb 1, 2026

On January 30, 2026 at 02:10 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Don Lemon be criminally charged? This alert showcased a timely prediction as Lemon was indeed charged earlier that day...

PoliticsMinnesota Unrest
+25.1%
ROI
$535.79
📈

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Jan 30, 2026

On January 17, 2026 at 10:33 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about whether André Ventura would win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election. Despite a strong performance, Ven...

PoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
+63.1%
ROI
$2,413.92
📈

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Jan 30, 2026

On January 1, 2026 at 10:20 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about "No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?" This alert came from tracking debased, one of the elite wallet...

PoliticsFedFed Rates
+68.0%
ROI
$733,960.38
📈

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Jan 30, 2026

On January 13, 2026 at 02:19 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?' The alert, generated from tracking Eatpraylove, one of our el...

PoliticsFedFed Rates
+87.7%
ROI
$144,144.67
📈

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Jan 28, 2026

On January 22, 2026 at 06:24 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?' This alert came from tracking tunatyler, one of the elite wal...

PoliticsTrumpMentions
+63.1%
ROI
$1,031.63