📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
May 22, 2026 at 11:58 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #744879
+95.9% ROI

US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal: 95.9% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

View on Polymarket →MARKET_CLOSED
PoliticsIranTrumpceasefireGeopoliticsIran CeasefireU.S. x IranAgreement10-point

On May 22, 2026 at 11:58 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about a US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026. This insight stemmed from tracking one of the elite wallets classified in our system, highlighting a profit of $7,695.49 and an ROI of 95.9%. The trader's strategic positions in this high-stakes market underscore the importance of keen market insights and predictive accuracy, as interpreted through Polyburg’s AI-driven platform.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+95.9%
Profit/Loss
$7,695.49
Investment
$8,027.02
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
classified
0x12d6cc...2cf2a8

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket contract ‘US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026’ gained significant traction following a mid-June memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the US and Iran to end their conflict. This market was intriguing due to both its geopolitical impact and its speculative nature, as traders debated the feasibility of transforming an interim agreement into a lasting peace treaty amidst unresolved political and nuclear issues. Our system focused on 'classified,' an elite trader consistently profitable in similar markets. Our AI detected significant position sizes, precise timing, and a conviction score of 7.0/10, indicating a meaningful belief in the impending resolution. Throughout this volatile market, the June events reshaped trading dynamics, culminating in a favorable ROI of 95.9% for the tracked trade. The lessons from this analysis highlight the challenges and opportunities in monitoring political contracts using advanced algorithms. Discover how Polyburg tracks such opportunities by visiting our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking classified, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on May 22, 2026 at 11:58 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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