📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
January 1, 2026 at 09:51 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #203576
+105.5% ROI

Spread: Indiana (-7.5): 105.5% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Indiana]

On January 1, 2026 at 09:51 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Spread: Indiana (-7.5) based on real-time analysis. This alert came from tracking Flipadelphia, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system, showcasing an impressive ROI of 105.5% with a profit of $7,700 from a $7,299.99 investment. This outcome matters as it underscores the precision of Flipadelphia's trading decisions, enhanced by their 7.0/10 conviction score.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+105.5%
Profit/Loss
$7,700
Investment
$7,299.99
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
Flipadelphia
0x448861...99e319

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The market for the Indiana (-7.5) spread during the Rose Bowl CFP quarterfinal was rife with interest, drawing parallels between traditional sportsbooks and Polymarket's dynamic exchanges. Unique insights from Perplexity suggest a close contest due to Indiana's undefeated run and Alabama's strong performance. We tracked trader Flipadelphia due to their established track record, specifically in Indiana spread markets, aligning with our proprietary AI model that evaluates via risk-adjusted ROI and trend momentum. Flipadelphia's activity on this market showcased their adept timing and strategic position size, reflected in their 7.0/10 conviction score. Our AI detected notable signals, such as Flipadelphia's rapid position adjustments pre-game, indicating a high-confidence trade. The analysis highlighted Indiana's top offense paired against Alabama's resilience, resulting in a pivotal learning opportunity on market reactions to real-time game developments. As the game unfolded, Indiana's narrow margin of victory demonstrated the necessity of balancing statistical predictions with market sentiment. This trade reiterated the importance of our AI's multifactorial tracking system, pinpointing the decisive elements in trader success. To explore more about our tracking methodology, please visit our FAQ at https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 99+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking Flipadelphia, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 1, 2026 at 09:51 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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