Iran strike on US military by January 31?: 23.8% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

Politics Iran Trump Geopolitics Khamenei

On January 31, 2026 at 04:40 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the market 'Iran strike on US military by January 31?' This alert was based on insights from 🤺JustWakingUp, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. The market resolved to 'No', confirming no direct Iranian strike occurred. JustWakingUp achieved an ROI of 23.8%, providing valuable insight into trader sentiment and market dynamics.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI

+23.8%

Profit/Loss

$1,972.52

Investment

$8,291.74

Outcome

PROFIT

TRADER

🤺JustWakingUp

0x9d84ce...dc1344

MARKET_ANALYSIS

Perplexity insights reveal that the market 'Iran strike on US military by January 31?' gained traction due to geopolitical tensions and specific criteria requiring a confirmed, direct strike by Iran. Created on January 12, 2026, the market attracted $310,860 in volume, capturing trader interest with its strict resolution guidelines. Polyburg monitored 🤺JustWakingUp due to their strategic positioning and consistent profitability in similar markets. Our AI detected notable signals, including investment size and a conviction score of 6.0/10, indicating moderate confidence in the market's outcome. The market's resolution as 'No' demonstrates the influence of geopolitical factors like U.S. defenses and Iran's strategic restraint. JustWakingUp's ROI of 23.8% underscores their analytic prowess in assessing risk and opportunity. This scenario provided key insights into the complexity of prediction markets and the importance of accurate, real-time analysis. Polyburg's AI-driven platform continues to track such opportunities, providing valuable trader insights. Learn more at our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking 🤺JustWakingUp, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 31, 2026 at 04:40 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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