📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
October 6, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #151
+124.6% ROI

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?: 124.6% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On October 6, 2025, at 12:23 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? market after closely tracking Irish77, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. This trader achieved an impressive ROI of 124.6%, netting a profit of $5357.43 from a $4300 investment, with a perfect conviction score of 10.0. This outcome highlights our robust capability to identify profitable predictions in high-stakes markets successfully.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+124.6%
Profit/Loss
$5,357.43
Investment
$4,300
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
Irish77
0xe352e5...40f259

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket prediction surrounding the potential ceasefire between Israel and Hamas by October 31st was riveting due to its complexity and the geopolitical stakes involved. Previous ceasefires had seen mixed adherence, with the existing January 2025 agreement being particularly volatile despite international mediation. Our interest in this market stemmed from its dynamic nature and the influence of various international and political factors. Irish77 emerged as a standout trader in this context, demonstrating remarkable consistency and profitability in General markets, like this ceasefire prediction. Our decision to focus on Irish77 was based on their impressive track record, highlighted by 124.6% ROI, which reflected strategic foresight and adept market timing. Polyburg's AI meticulously analyzed trader behavior, signaling position size, entry timing, and an optimal conviction score, which indicated the trader's strong belief in the ceasefire holding past October despite historical uncertainties. Given the challenging diplomatic landscape, this indicator was invaluable. Ultimately, the market played out with ongoing negotiations and intermittent violations, showcasing the nuances in international politics. This case underscored the importance of precise data analysis and elite trader insights. At Polyburg, we continuously monitor these valuable opportunities to provide our subscribers with competitive edges in prediction markets. For more information about our methodology, visit our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking Irish77, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on October 6, 2025 at 12:23 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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