📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
October 12, 2025 at 02:57 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #6450
+42.8% ROI

Lecornu out as French PM by Oct 31?: 42.8% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

On October 12, 2025 at 02:57 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?. This alert came from tracking Toncar16, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. With a final ROI of 42.8%, Toncar16 profited $442.20 from an initial investment of $1034.00. This outcome mattered as it highlighted the extreme political instability in France, reinforcing the predictive abilities of Polymarket and the effectiveness of Polyburg's AI monitoring systems.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+42.8%
Profit/Loss
$442.2
Investment
$1,034
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
Toncar16
0x41583f...fece9f

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The rapidly unfolding scenario of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation as French Prime Minister captured the attention of prediction markets worldwide. Appointed on October 5, 2025, Lecornu's government barely lasted 27 days amidst political instability, marking him as the fourth PM in less than a year. This market stood out due to France's turbulent landscape caused by a fractured coalition and ongoing legislative gridlock. Polyburg's decision to track Toncar16 was strategic; this trader has repeatedly demonstrated consistent profitability in similar politically volatile markets, making them a valuable point of reference. Our AI detected Toncar16's significant position size, timing their entry based on imminent budgetary conflicts and high conviction, reflected in a noteworthy conviction score of 6.0/10. Our machine learning algorithms flagged this market early, providing our subscribers with timely insights. The events underscored the importance of responsive strategies in prediction markets, especially in times of geopolitical uncertainty. For more details on our tracking methodology, visit our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking Toncar16, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on October 12, 2025 at 02:57 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

GET_ALERTS_LIKE_THIS

Join thousands of traders receiving real-time alerts from Polyburg's AI-powered prediction market analysis. Don't miss the next winning opportunity.