📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
November 18, 2025 at 05:53 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #66100
+28.9% ROI

Utah vs. Ducks: 28.9% ROI - Polyburg Insight[Side: Ducks]

On November 18, 2025, at 05:53 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the Utah vs. Ducks market. The alert emerged just before the public became aware of the actual game outcome, which saw the Ducks securing a victory in overtime. This alert was based on data from 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2, one of the elite watches in our monitoring system. Despite the trader's conviction being rated at 4.0/10, the position still yielded a successful return with a solid 28.9% ROI. The $1361.74 investment led to a profit of $393.16, highlighting the effectiveness of specialized insights even when conviction isn't high.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+28.9%
Profit/Loss
$393.16
Investment
$1,361.74
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
0xd9e0aa...a805f2

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Utah vs. Ducks market captured the attention of both casual and serious traders due to its unpredictable nature and high betting interest. Insights from Perplexity revealed that the game played out with the Anaheim Ducks winning in overtime—a thrilling outcome not easily predictable. We chose to track trader 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 due to their repeated success in similar markets, having cultivated a reputation for stability even when conviction scores are moderate. Polyburg's sophisticated AI alerted us to the position taken by this trader due to the substantial investment amount and the relatively modest conviction score of 4.0/10. Despite appearing measured, this gamble played out favorably for the trader, producing a remarkable gain—a noteworthy lesson in market intuition over sheer confidence. The unfolding of the market taught valuable lessons about the interplay of strategic positioning and outcome uncertainty. While the trader’s intuition coupled with AI's position-size detection provided a robust decision-making framework, the event further underscores the complexities of sports prediction markets. Through closely monitoring such activities, Polyburg uncovers opportunities that might otherwise be overlooked. To explore more about our methodology and how we make sense of these metrics, visit our FAQ page: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 99+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on November 18, 2025 at 05:53 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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