📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
November 18, 2025 at 09:04 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #66162
+21.4% ROI

Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?: 21.4% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On November 18, 2025 at 09:04 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Spain win on 2025-11-18? This alert, based on strategic tracking of tcp2, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system, highlighted a trade with a notable ROI of 21.4%. Despite Spain's historical advantages and favorable odds, the match concluded with a 2-2 draw against Turkey, underscoring the value of consistent market analysis. This outcome is significant as it showcases tcp2’s ability to navigate unpredictable markets, evidenced by a profit of $669.74 from an investment of $3130.25.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+21.4%
Profit/Loss
$669.74
Investment
$3,130.25
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
tcp2
0x6b7c75...6c5f83

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The market 'Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?' was particularly intriguing due to Spain’s outstanding pre-match form in the UEFA World Cup Qualifier. Experts across betting and analytics platforms had heavily favored Spain based on their perfect defensive and offensive prowess. However, the resulting 2-2 draw with Turkey, despite ensuring Spain’s qualification, disrupted widespread expectations. We monitored tcp2 because of their demonstrated consistent profitability in Science & Tech markets, with a noteworthy ROI of 21.4% for this trade. tcp2 is part of an exclusive group of traders whose activities are scrutinized by our AI-driven platform for insights into market dynamics. Our AI detected significant signals from tcp2’s trading strategy—particularly the position size, precise timing, and a moderate conviction score of 5.0/10—indicating a calculated risk approach in a seemingly definitive market. The surprising outcome challenged conventional predictions, imparting key lessons about market sentiments and external factors, even when Spain was a dominant force. For more insights into how Polyburg tracks such opportunities, learn more in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 99+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking tcp2, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on November 18, 2025 at 09:04 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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