📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
January 13, 2026 at 08:39 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #239626
+111.9% ROI

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?: 111.9% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On January 13, 2026 at 08:39 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?' The alert emerged from tracking betwick, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Despite the high tension and military posturing, no strike materialized by the deadline, resolving the market negatively. With a final ROI of 111.9% and a profit of $8997.22, betwick's strategic positioning before tensions surged proved valuable. This outcome underscores Polyburg's ability to identify critical insights from elite traders effectively.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+111.9%
Profit/Loss
$8,997.22
Investment
$8,043.51
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
betwick
0xc851cd...12cd2a

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket event 'US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026' captured significant interest due to increasing geopolitical tensions and military activities. By the resolution date, no strike had occurred, highlighting the complexities of prediction markets in high-stakes geopolitical situations. Tracking the elite trader 'betwick,' known for consistent profitability in these markets, proved insightful. Betwick's decisive actions, reflected by a 111.9% ROI, were underpinned by careful timing and analysis. Our AI detected their strategic move with a well-calibrated investment of $8043.51 and a moderate conviction score of 6.0/10, signaling prudent risk engagement. Despite heightened US military presence and aggressive rhetoric, the scenario unfolded without US action. This highlighted the volatile nature of geopolitical forecasting and reaffirmed the potential of tracking elite market movers to capture strategic insights. Polyburg's meticulous monitoring of trading dynamics, leveraging proprietary algorithms assessing risk-adjusted ROI and other indicators, continues to offer actionable intelligence in rapidly evolving markets. To dive deeper into our methodology, check our FAQ at https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking betwick, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 13, 2026 at 08:39 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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