📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
January 11, 2026 at 07:27 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #233568
+42.1% ROI

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?: 42.1% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

On January 11, 2026 at 07:27 PM, Polyburg alerted subscribers about the 'US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?' market. Despite heightened tensions, a strike did not occur by the deadline, and the market resolved as 'no.' This alert originated from Logan., an elite wallet in our system, showcasing a 42.1% ROI from this particular trade. Tracking such outcomes offers invaluable insights into geopolitical market predictions and underscores the credibility of top traders monitored by Polyburg.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+42.1%
Profit/Loss
$7,628.51
Investment
$18,102.36
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
Logan.
0x510904...175e9c

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket prediction around a potential US strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, garnered significant attention due to geopolitical tensions. The market's intrigue stemmed from a complex interplay of military posturing and escalating diplomatic efforts, as seen in the announcement of nuclear talks. Tracking Logan., one of the top-performing traders, was crucial as their historical success provided a reliable lens for understanding market movements. Logan. demonstrated remarkable proficiency in evaluating geopolitical risks, as indicated by their high conviction score and judicious investment choices. Our AI detected strategic signals from Logan.'s position size and timing, reflecting nuanced decision-making skills uncommon in such volatile markets. Ultimately, the absence of a strike resulted from both nations' diplomatic priorities and strategic deterrence measures, embodying a broader narrative of tension resolution through negotiation rather than conflict. This case reinforces the value Polyburg provides by identifying successful traders in unpredictable markets. For an in-depth analysis of our methodology, visit our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking Logan., one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 11, 2026 at 07:27 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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