📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
January 10, 2026 at 11:08 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #229838
+69.7% ROI

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?: 69.7% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

On January 10, 2026 at 11:08 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? While tensions were high, the market resolved as 'No' when no strikes occurred by the deadline. This alert came from tracking FireKevinPatullo, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system, achieving a ROI of 69.7% and a profit of $10,971.81. Understanding these outcomes matters as Polymarket insights offer valuable data on geopolitical risks.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+69.7%
Profit/Loss
$10,971.81
Investment
$15,745.24
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
FireKevinPatullo
0xf68a28...6e5b1b

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket market on whether the US would strike Iran by January 31, 2026, intrigued traders due to volatile US-Iran relations and previous military actions. With tensions high, the potential for conflict seemed plausible, especially after June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. Yet, diplomacy prevailed, mirroring historical precedents of restraint. Tracking FireKevinPatullo, known for consistent profitability in geopolitical markets, was a strategic choice. His elite ranking came from our machine learning analysis, assessing risk-adjusted ROI, trend momentum, and consistency. His position in this market demonstrated informed timing and a conviction score of 8.0/10. Polyburg's AI detected signals early, noting FireKevinPatullo's significant investment shifts and confidence amidst fluctuating diplomatic efforts and military posturing. His timely trades capitalized on the nuanced geopolitical landscape, yielding a substantial ROI. Ultimately, the absence of strikes and emphasis on negotiations highlighted a lesson in prediction markets: geopolitical events are multifaceted, and data-informed insights often align with peaceful resolutions. Polyburg's continuous monitoring of diverse opportunities aims to empower traders with foresight and strategic advantage. Learn more in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking FireKevinPatullo, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 10, 2026 at 11:08 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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