πŸ“… ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
October 11, 2025 at 01:00 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
πŸ“ˆ
ALERT #5838
+118.3% ROI

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?: 118.3% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

On October 11, 2025 at 01:00 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?' We tracked this market closely through the elite trader 881112, whose decision-making led to a remarkable 118.3% ROI. Ultimately, no hostages were released before October 12, as confirmed by subsequent developments, affirming the market’s resolution as 'NO'. This analysis underscores the importance of timely insights and elite trader tracking in prediction markets.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+118.3%
Profit/Loss
$6,009.19
Investment
$5,079.06
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
881112
0xd426ad...42334a

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The prediction market centered around 'Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?' became a focal point for traders, especially given its geopolitical significance and the implications of U.S.-brokered negotiations. The intriguing aspect of this market was its clear cut timeline juxtaposed against dynamic international negotiations. Polyburg tracked elite trader 881112, a strategic decision given their consistent profitability and nuanced understanding of such high-stakes markets. Our system, evaluating through machine-learning protocols, flagged 881112's trading activity due to substantial investment size and a moderate conviction score of 3.0/10, indicating cautious optimism. However, external factors, notably the confirmed release of hostages on October 13, influenced the outcome. While no hostages were freed before the deadline, the U.S.-brokered ceasefire and Red Cross intervention were pivotal. This market illustrates the unpredictability inherent in prediction timelines compared to actual global events. Polyburg's proficiency in identifying lucrative opportunities through robust trader monitoring is available for deeper exploration in our FAQ section: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking 881112, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on October 11, 2025 at 01:00 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology β†’

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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