Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' Game of the Year?: 317.0% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

Culture Games Best of 2025

On January 3, 2026, at 09:26 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers tracking the market on whether 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' would win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards. This alert originated from monitoring the elite trader 'ninjaslashed,' showcasing a staggering 317.0% ROI and demonstrating the effectiveness of our platform. Although Silksong did not win, resulting in the market resolving as 'No,' the trade highlights the value of strategic insights and timing in maximizing returns, emphasizing our focus on profitable trader tracking.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI

+317.0%

Profit/Loss

$5,127.33

Investment

$1,617.64

Outcome

PROFIT

TRADER

ninjaslashed

0x0cb10c...dda76c

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The market surrounding 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' and its potential to win Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards proved particularly intriguing. Released on September 4, 2025, Silksong was poised with immense anticipation and buzz due to its prolonged development and the success of its predecessor. However, despite its strong potential and positive pre-release reception, it faced stiff competition in a year flooded with significant releases. Polyburg's decision to track 'ninjaslashed' was driven by this trader's consistent track record in Pop Culture markets, demonstrating substantial profitability and a strategic edge in detection. Our AI identified key signals including a high conviction score of 10.0/10 and a strategic investment locked in prior to market resolution. As the market closed with Silksong not taking the crown, crucial lessons emerged about the unpredictability of award outcomes even against high expectations. The case underlines the necessity of analyzing broad market contexts and individual game dynamics. Polyburg remains at the forefront of tracking these unpredictable market opportunities. Learn more about our methodology and how we analyze market trends on our FAQ page: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking ninjaslashed, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on January 3, 2026 at 09:26 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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