📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
October 17, 2025 at 04:17 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #9859
+73.7% ROI

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?: 73.7% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: No]

On October 17, 2025, at 04:17 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers regarding the market 'Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?' Prior to the election outcome, this alert tracked insights from StephenASmith, an elite trader known for his impressive 73.7% ROI. This particular trade was significant due to its timing ahead of the final result where Jorge Quiroga lost, providing insightful early predictions for those invested in international politics on Polymarket.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+73.7%
Profit/Loss
$1,443.02
Investment
$1,956.99
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
StephenASmith
0x2034ce...3d8dae

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The 2025 Bolivia presidential election was a pivotal event, marked by its first-ever runoff, as Bolivia's political landscape shifted significantly. Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga’s campaign was emblematic of the broader political changes in the region, notably the decline of MAS’s long dominance due to internal fractures and a polarized electorate seeking new leadership. This market caught traders’ attention on Polymarket due to its high stakes and the potential political ramifications. Polyburg tracked this market using insights from StephenASmith, one of our elite traders renowned for consistently high returns in political markets. Our monitoring system identified his position due to his strong track record, backed by a notable 73.7% ROI and a substantial conviction score of 9.0 out of 10. The timing and positioning of his trade were instrumental, offering a compelling case study in data-driven predictions. Our AI detected StephenASmith’s well-timed investment, reflecting calculated risk based on political dynamics. His decision showcased the advantage of real-time data analysis, with position size and conviction score aligning with market probability shifts following emerging news about fractures in MAS and rising opposition unity. As the market concluded with Quiroga’s concession after the runoff, traders learned the importance of tracking elite insights for anticipatory advantage. Polyburg’s AI-driven approach, analyzing thousands of wallets, highlights the value of foresight in volatile markets. Discover how our methodologies enhance trader success in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking StephenASmith, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on October 17, 2025 at 04:17 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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