📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
October 20, 2025 at 06:55 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #14184
+28.7% ROI

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?: 28.7% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On October 20, 2025 at 06:55 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about the Polymarket question: Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%? This prompt update came from monitoring gopfan2, a consistently successful trader, boasting an ROI of 28.7%. The final outcome surpassed this margin, making the accurate tracking of gopfan2's actions pivotal. This alert highlights Polyburg's robust capacity to provide real-time, insightful trading analyses, ultimately leading to a profitable trade with a gain of $2167.29 on an investment of $7547.35.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+28.7%
Profit/Loss
$2,167.29
Investment
$7,547.35
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
gopfan2
0xf2f6af...cd5817

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket on whether Rodrigo Paz Pereira would win Bolivia's presidential runoff by 10–15% gained significant interest following a dramatic shift in Bolivian politics. After two decades of MAS dominance, the country experienced a historic turnaround with Pereira defeating his opponent Jorge Quiroga by a much wider margin. This market drew attention not only due to the political upheaval but also the unexpected collapse of the MAS party amid economic turmoil and corruption scandals. Tracking gopfan2, a trader who had already demonstrated keen insights and a robust track record in similar markets, added further intrigue. Polyburg opted to monitor gopfan2 closely, knowing this particular trader had previously navigated complex political markets with an ROI of 28.7%, especially in electoral contexts fraught with uncertainty like Rodrigo Paz Pereira's candidacy. The trader's strategies in this case were timely and highlighted by a conviction score of 6.0/10, indicating balanced risk management. Our AI detected strategic, well-timed entry points and adaptive position sizing, precisely when wider market sentiment was less certain. Despite no polling evidence to support a 10–15% victory margin for Pereira, gopfan2 identified other potential signals concerning political fragmentation and wider public sentiment that foretold a significant margin, reflecting the trader's seasoned market awareness. In retrospect, this market provided valuable lessons about understanding the nuances beyond statistical ties and demographics. It emphasized the importance of adaptive trading strategies in politically fluctuating environments. Polyburg's AI consistently scans for these opportunities, ensuring our subscribers remain informed and ready to act. Learn more about our methodology in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking gopfan2, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on October 20, 2025 at 06:55 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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