📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
February 5, 2026 at 10:11 AM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #320835
+22.9% ROI

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?: 22.9% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On February 5, 2026 at 10:11 AM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? This alert came from tracking tunatyler, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. The market ultimately resolved as 'No' after Seguro won the presidential election, securing 66.82% of the national vote but not all districts. With a notable ROI of 22.9% and profit of $3016.75 on an investment of $13150.71, this outcome highlights the effectiveness of tracking informed traders, offering subscribers valuable insights based on tunatyler's performance.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+22.9%
Profit/Loss
$3,016.75
Investment
$13,150.71
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
tunatyler
0xf1f9a4...2d1245

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket market 'Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?' captured attention due to its complexity and political significance. This unique prediction market questioned whether António José Seguro would achieve an unprecedented victory across all 22 districts in Portugal's presidential election. Seguro won nationally with 66.82% of the vote but didn't sweep every district, illuminating regional political dynamics and voter tendencies. We tracked this specific trader, tunatyler, because their wallet has demonstrated consistent profitability and an impressive 22.9% ROI in similar political prediction markets. Tunatyler's success reflects their ability to gauge political sentiment and predict market outcomes effectively. Our AI detected tunatyler's investment positioned with a high conviction score of 7.0/10, time-stamped before the election's completion. As the market played out, the lesson emerged that understanding regional influences is crucial for accurate predictions. Polyburg continues to monitor such opportunities by harnessing AI algorithms to track elite traders. For more on our methodology, visit: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking tunatyler, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on February 5, 2026 at 10:11 AM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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