📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
December 29, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #191403
+26.4% ROI

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?: 26.4% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On December 29, 2025 at 12:48 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about 'Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?' This came from our continuous monitoring of ArmageddonRewardsBilly, one of the elite wallets in our system. With a final ROI of 26.4%, ArmageddonRewardsBilly's investment paid off significantly, achieving a profit of $10,520.91 on a $39,909.19 investment. The anticipated outcome was verified, showing the power of our AI in tracking leading market players before outcomes crystallize.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+26.4%
Profit/Loss
$10,520.91
Investment
$39,909.19
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab97...946418

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket prediction market 'Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?' captivated attention with its direct inquiry into a pivotal political decision. Unique insights were drawn from the overlapping 'Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?' market, which resolved with an unexpected consensus—Trump made no announcement by the end of 2025. We monitored an elite trader, ArmageddonRewardsBilly, due to his impressive track record in political markets, achieving consistent profitability that caught our system's attention. ArmageddonRewardsBilly’s decisions are highlighted through Polyburg’s robust machine learning algorithm, which evaluates thousands of wallets for their risk-adjusted ROI, trend momentum, and confidence scores. Our AI detected significant signals in his trading behavior, notably his substantial investment size, precise timing, and a commendable conviction score of 9.0/10. These indicators led to insightful predictions: the market forecasted a lack of announcement amidst high volumes, showing a shared expectation of delay. The resolution of these markets underscores the importance of timing and insight in trading. As Trump postponed any announcement to beyond January, the market's alignment with Billy’s actions highlights crucial lessons about political market prediction. Polyburg remains committed to uncovering these opportunities for subscribers. Learn more in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking ArmageddonRewardsBilly, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on December 29, 2025 at 12:48 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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