📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
February 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #352454
+30.3% ROI

Trump Approval Rating: 30.3% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Yes]

On February 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026? This alert was generated from tracking ArmageddonRewardsBilly, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. The trader achieved a 30.3% ROI with a profit of $603.48 from a $1991.21 investment. This outcome underscores the potential for profit in accurately predicting market trends.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+30.3%
Profit/Loss
$603.48
Investment
$1,991.21
Outcome
PROFIT
TRADER
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab97...946418

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The market surrounding the prediction of Trump’s approval rating on February 13, 2026, was uniquely interesting due to the fluctuating approval metrics during his second term. Multiple sources, including Nate Silver and Ballotpedia, showcased varying ratings that hovered near the prediction's specified range. Notably, Trump’s approval reached a low point after tumultuous polling periods, adding intrigue to the market’s trajectory. Our focus on the trader ArmageddonRewardsBilly stems from their consistent success in political markets on Polymarket. With a history of strategic insights and risk management, this trader exemplifies the type of elite wallet Polyburg tracks. Despite a moderate conviction score of 5.0/10, their calculated investment timing and position size were key signals detected by Polyburg’s AI-driven platform. The market outcomes highlighted the importance of accurately interpreting polling data fluctuations and broader trends. Lessons from this outcome emphasize the role of strategic timing and informed decision-making. Polyburg continues to identify and track such opportunities to offer insights into profitable predictions. Learn more about Polyburg's tracking methods in our FAQ: https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 100+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking ArmageddonRewardsBilly, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on February 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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