Polymarket vs PredictIt, Kalshi, Sportsbooks: Which is Best?

Comparing prediction markets and betting platforms.

Why serious traders choose Polymarket over the competition.

At-a-Glance Comparison

FeaturePolymarketPredictItKalshiSportsbooks
Max Position SizeUnlimited$850$25KVaries (limits winners)
Fees0% (maker)
2% (taker)
5% withdraw
10% profit
7% exchange~10% vig
Liquidity$150M+$5M$20MHigh (but opaque)
TransparencyOn-chain
(full visibility)
PartialExchange order bookNone (black box)
Market VarietyPolitics, Sports,
Crypto, Pop Culture
Politics onlyEconomics,
limited politics
Sports only
US AvailabilityYes (unlicensed)Yes (CFTC licensed)Yes (CFTC licensed)State-dependent
Winner RestrictionsNoneNoneNoneBanned/limited

Polymarket vs PredictIt

Position Limits

PredictIt: $850 max position per market (hard cap)
Polymarket: Unlimited. Bet $10K, $100K, $1M — no restrictions.

Why it matters: Serious traders can't scale on PredictIt. Polymarket has no ceiling.

Fees

PredictIt: 5% withdrawal fee + 10% on profits = 15% total drag
Polymarket: 0% maker fees, 2% taker fees. No withdrawal fees.

Example: Win $1,000 on PredictIt → pay $100 profit tax + $50 withdraw fee = $150 lost.
Same win on Polymarket → pay $0-$20 (depending on maker vs taker).

Market Variety

PredictIt: Politics only (US elections, Congress, etc.)
Polymarket: Politics, sports, crypto, pop culture, economics.

Why it matters: Diversification. Don't rely on election cycles alone.

Liquidity

PredictIt: ~$5M total volume
Polymarket: $150M+ total volume (30x larger)

Higher liquidity = tighter spreads, easier to enter/exit large positions.

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Regulation

Kalshi: CFTC-regulated (fully licensed in US)
Polymarket: Unregulated (globally accessible, but gray area in US)

Trade-off: Kalshi is "safer" legally, but Polymarket has more freedom (no KYC limits, faster innovation).

Market Focus

Kalshi: Economics, Fed policy, inflation, macro events
Polymarket: Politics, sports, crypto (broader cultural coverage)

Use case: Kalshi for macro traders, Polymarket for everything else.

Fees

Kalshi: 7% exchange fee (both sides)
Polymarket: 0% maker, 2% taker

Example: $1,000 trade on Kalshi = $70 fee. Same trade on Polymarket = $0-$20.

Position Limits

Kalshi: $25K max position
Polymarket: Unlimited

Kalshi is better than PredictIt ($850 limit), but still caps professional traders.

Polymarket vs Traditional Sportsbooks

Transparency

Sportsbooks: Black box. You never see who's betting what.
Polymarket: On-chain. See whale positions in real-time.

Why it matters: Track sharp money. Know when smart bettors are piling in.

Winner Restrictions

Sportsbooks: Ban or limit profitable users. Win too much → account restricted.
Polymarket: Never restricts winners. Scale infinitely.

If you're good, sportsbooks don't want your action. Polymarket does.

Vig (Juice)

Sportsbooks: ~10% vig (-110 odds on both sides)
Polymarket: Peer-to-peer. No house vig (just 2% taker fee).

Save 5-10% per bet by avoiding the house edge.

Market Availability

Sportsbooks: Sports only (NBA, NFL, MLB, etc.)
Polymarket: Sports + politics + crypto + pop culture

Example: Bet on NBA playoffs AND 2026 election AND Bitcoin price — all on one platform.

Why Serious Traders Choose Polymarket

No position limits: Scale from $100 to $100K+ without restrictions
Lowest fees: 0% maker, 2% taker (vs 7-15% on competitors)
Highest liquidity: $150M+ volume = tight spreads, easy exits
On-chain transparency: Track whale positions before odds move
Market variety: Politics, sports, crypto, pop culture — diversify edges
No winner restrictions: Profitable traders welcomed, not banned

How Polyburg Amplifies Polymarket's Edge

Polymarket gives you transparency. Polyburg tells you what to do with it.

Problem

Polymarket shows 200+ markets. You don't have time to analyze every whale position manually.

Solution

Polyburg monitors 200+ profitable traders 24/7. When they make high-conviction bets, you get instant alerts.

Start with Polyburg + Polymarket →

Free alerts. 8,105 traders already using it.

FAQ

Q: Is Polymarket legal in the US?

A: Polymarket operates globally without CFTC licensing. It's accessible in the US but exists in a regulatory gray area. PredictIt and Kalshi are CFTC-licensed alternatives.

Q: Can I use multiple platforms?

A: Yes. Many traders arbitrage between Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi when prices diverge.

Q: Which platform is safest?

A: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Polymarket is decentralized (funds on-chain = you control), but unregulated.

Q: How do I get started on Polymarket?

A: Sign up here (free), deposit USDC on any chain, start trading. No KYC required.