#41 SMART WALLET

Anon (0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7)

0x4e25…d7a7•View on Polymarket ↗

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PERFORMANCE_METRICS

ROI (90d)

+7.2%

ROI (30d)

+7.8%

Win Rate (90d)

78.9%

Total P&L

+$31.0K

Avg Position

$3.7K

Sharpe Ratio

0.37

Last updated: Apr 21, 2026 • 1061 total trades across 790 markets

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ACTIVE_POSITIONS50 positions worth $349.0K total

Market	Size	Shares	P&L
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	$13.0K	26226	-$12.8K
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	$15.4K	164207	-$11.8K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	$10.0K	94157	-$9.4K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	$2.4K	15043	+$8.6K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	$14.7K	26545	+$6.8K
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	$3.3K	10604	+$6.8K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	$13.8K	37473	-$6.6K
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	$23.2K	35633	+$6.4K
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	$23.2K	35633	+$6.4K
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?	$459	6753	+$6.1K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	$17.8K	23614	+$5.8K
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	$5.0K	10609	-$4.9K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	$2.1K	8164	+$4.7K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?	$3.9K	18058	-$3.9K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	$10.9K	96808	-$3.5K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	$1.5K	7542	+$3.5K
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	$3.6K	6650	-$3.3K
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?	$309	3411	+$3.1K
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?	$2.6K	5346	-$2.6K
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	$2.7K	15563	-$2.6K

Showing top 20 of 50 active positions

RECENT_TRADES

Market	Size	P&L	Result	Date
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	$3.1K	-$619	❌	Apr 21, 2026
Unknown Market	$7.0K	+$722	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	$1.7K	-$679	❌	Apr 21, 2026
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	$14	+$0	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	$126	-$115	❌	Apr 21, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	$1.3K	+$595	✅	Apr 21, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	$3.2K	+$315	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	$1.1K	+$537	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	$10.3K	+$106	✅	Apr 21, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	$73.8K	-$54.3K	❌	Apr 21, 2026
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	$7.7K	+$113	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	$27.2K	+$1.6K	✅	Apr 21, 2026
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	$57.2K	-$3.9K	❌	Apr 21, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	$14.8K	+$4.5K	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	$664	+$40	✅	Apr 21, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	$3.6K	+$266	✅	Apr 21, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	$126	-$1	❌	Apr 21, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	$3.1K	+$84	✅	Apr 21, 2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	$201.0K	-$24.5K	❌	Apr 21, 2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	$72.3K	+$34.3K	✅	Apr 21, 2026

TRACK_SMART_WALLETS

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss.