#239 SMART WALLET

aviato

0x2a01…6397•View on Polymarket ↗

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PERFORMANCE_METRICS

ROI (90d)

+2.1%

ROI (30d)

+2.6%

Win Rate (90d)

90.9%

Total P&L

+$29.8K

Avg Position

$17.6K

Sharpe Ratio

0.01

Last updated: Apr 14, 2026 • 266 total trades across 219 markets

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ACTIVE_POSITIONS50 positions worth $260.3K total

Market	Size	Shares	P&L
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	$46.1K	47673	+$1.3K
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	$1.3K	3082	-$1.3K
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	$28.6K	29548	+$974
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	$38.5K	40317	+$905
Will the US strike Somalia next?	$10.2K	10800	+$576
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	$4.5K	4906	+$398
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	$4.1K	4688	+$395
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	$21.1K	21424	+$297
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	$284	400	-$284
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 28m?	$7.0K	7232	+$267
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?	$5.1K	5269	+$167
Fed rate cut by September meeting?	$20.9K	21502	+$123
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	$33.8K	34707	+$112
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?	$223	330	+$107
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?	$3.6K	3682	+$83
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 28m?	$2.1K	2166	+$64
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?	$60	300	-$60
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?	$59	496	-$59
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	$20.4K	22072	+$57
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?	$3.3K	3370	+$50

Showing top 20 of 50 active positions

RECENT_TRADES

Market	Size	P&L	Result	Date
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?	$2.8K	+$44	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?	$452	+$8	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?	$300	+$147	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?	$1.4K	+$8	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	$49.6K	+$1.7K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	$15.4K	+$643	✅	Apr 14, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	$99.5K	-$86.5K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	$8.4K	+$240	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?	$1.6K	+$10	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	$10	+$0	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15m and $16m?	$4.3K	+$226	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	$406	+$8	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	$1.6K	+$10	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	$103	+$2	✅	Apr 14, 2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	$50.4K	+$2.4K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	$6.4K	+$97	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	$5.8K	+$33	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14m and $15m?	$1.6K	+$2	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	$3.3K	+$46	✅	Apr 8, 2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	$29.1K	-$1.3K	❌	Apr 8, 2026

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss.