#9 SMART WALLET

debased

0x24c8…23e1•View on Polymarket ↗

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PERFORMANCE_METRICS

ROI (90d)

+1.5%

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

Win Rate (90d)

73.6%

Total P&L

+$843.1K

Avg Position

$111.0K

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Last updated: Apr 14, 2026 • 372 total trades across 199 markets

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ACTIVE_POSITIONS50 positions worth $1.3M total

Market	Size	Shares	P&L
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	$213.3K	641307	-$213.3K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	$158.3K	475869	-$158.3K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	$280.0K	560000	-$60.2K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	$280.0K	560000	+$60.2K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	$35.0K	111304	-$35.0K
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	$16.6K	514698	-$16.6K
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	$15.0K	30000	-$15.0K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	$35.4K	52673	+$12.6K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	$8.2K	8777	-$8.2K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	$5.5K	11111	-$5.5K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	$4.9K	6564	-$4.9K
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	$3.7K	61401	-$3.7K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	$3.8K	10645	+$2.7K
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	$2.2K	76617	-$2.2K
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	$1.8K	2571	-$1.8K
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	$1.7K	3383	-$1.7K
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	$4.5K	7331	-$1.7K
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?	$1.4K	1720	-$1.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	$114.3K	118216	+$1.3K
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?	$1.1K	20242	-$1.1K

Showing top 20 of 50 active positions

RECENT_TRADES

Market	Size	P&L	Result	Date
Netanyahu out by April 30?	$52.6K	-$17.5K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	$77.3K	+$2.3K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	$4.0K	+$1.5K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	$141.1K	+$44.5K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	$1.0K	-$60	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	$4.7K	-$1.7K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	$3.3K	+$170	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	$10.5K	-$1.7K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	$16.1K	+$1.7K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	$3.3K	+$1.1K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	$1.2K	+$70	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	$221.4K	-$26.6K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	$1.7K	-$624	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	$44.5K	-$18.6K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	$13.6K	-$1.6K	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	$9.1K	-$657	❌	Apr 14, 2026
Netanyahu out by June 30?	$48.4K	+$17.6K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	$210.5K	+$30.5K	✅	Apr 14, 2026
Unknown Market	$555	+$44	✅	Apr 14, 2026
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	$2.2K	-$379	❌	Apr 14, 2026

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss.