#234 SMART WALLET

Tenebrus7

0xa8c6…44e8•View on Polymarket ↗

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PERFORMANCE_METRICS

ROI (90d)

+2.3%

ROI (30d)

+1.2%

Win Rate (90d)

78.0%

Total P&L

+$14.2K

Avg Position

$8.6K

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Last updated: Apr 20, 2026 • 404 total trades across 273 markets

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ACTIVE_POSITIONS50 positions worth $294.6K total

Market	Size	Shares	P&L
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?	$8.1K	10175	-$8.1K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	$7.6K	9664	-$7.6K
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	$5.4K	7562	-$5.4K
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	$2.7K	3649	-$2.7K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	$27.6K	31768	+$2.1K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	$17.5K	21367	+$1.9K
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?	$1.8K	2463	-$1.8K
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	$66.2K	67920	+$1.8K
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	$36.9K	38200	+$1.3K
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?	$865	1775	-$865
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?	$757	851	-$757
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?	$754	2216	-$754
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	$10.9K	13125	-$703
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the Champion of Coal event?	$523	885	-$523
Will the US strike Iran next?	$10.9K	11423	+$517
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	$6.6K	7684	+$472
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	$469	733	-$469
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	$5.0K	5520	-$460
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?	$454	594	-$454
Iran leadership change by April 30?	$5.2K	5900	+$454

Showing top 20 of 50 active positions

RECENT_TRADES

Market	Size	P&L	Result	Date
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	$500	+$243	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	$2.5K	+$15	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	$240	+$1	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	$139	+$1	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	$1000	-$441	❌	Apr 20, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	$28.0K	-$1.4K	❌	Apr 20, 2026
SBF released from custody in 2026?	$3.7K	+$56	✅	Apr 20, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	$1.0K	-$320	❌	Apr 20, 2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	$4.8K	-$1.3K	❌	Apr 20, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	$5.6K	-$400	❌	Apr 20, 2026
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?	$800	+$368	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	$24.8K	+$1.6K	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	$5.5K	+$534	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	$300	+$9	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	$200	+$84	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	$11.1K	+$4.0K	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	$38.8K	+$1.1K	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	$24.0K	+$159	✅	Apr 20, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	$300	+$84	✅	Apr 20, 2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	$3.0K	+$1.4K	✅	Apr 20, 2026

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss.