📅 ALERT SENT TO SUBSCRIBERS
November 17, 2025 at 08:14 PM
Before the outcome was obvious to the market
📈
ALERT #63774
+184.4% ROI

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakers: 184.4% ROI - Polyburg Analysis[Side: Penn Quakers]

SportsBasketballNCAAGamesNCAA Basketball

On November 17, 2025 at 08:14 PM, Polyburg sent an alert to subscribers about Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakers. This alert stemmed from monitoring the elite wallet 0xb13d096b2e90411d0e5f4891d3sdlk2j3s322e90, one of over 100 elite traders in our surveillance system. Despite a majority market prediction favoring Saint Joseph's, the final result was a significant upset with Penn Quakers securing an unexpected win. This particular trade yielded an impressive 184.4% ROI, resulting in a profit of $1945.00 from an investment of $1055.00. Such outcomes demonstrate the volatility and opportunities present in sports prediction markets and underscore the value of Polyburg's systematic approach to tracking elite traders.

PERFORMANCE_BREAKDOWN

ROI
+184.4%
Profit/Loss
$1,945
Investment
$1,055
Outcome
PROFIT

MARKET_ANALYSIS

The Polymarket for the Saint Joseph's Hawks versus Penn Quakers game on November 17, 2025, presented a richly layered prediction environment. Market expectations heavily favored Saint Joseph's Hawks, exemplified by their 70–75% implied win probability. Yet, Penn Quakers, coming off a marginally weaker start to the season and with strategic advantages such as strong home court record, managed to orchestrate an unexpected victory. This market was particularly insightful for the wallets we monitor because trader 0xb13d096b2e90411d0e5f4891d3sdlk2j3s322e90 has demonstrated consistent profitability in science and tech prediction markets. Their decision to back Penn amid such strong consensus for Saint Joseph's highlight their acute ability to spot opportunities others may overlook. Polyburg's AI flagged this trader's move due to the unique position size, the precise timing of their trade, and a conviction score of 4.0 out of 10, suggesting a nuanced understanding of the market's potential for upset. The ultimate outcome, Penn's victory over Saint Joseph's, was a surprise that disrupted the prediction consensus but underscored the need to incorporate situational variables like a strong home advantage and standout individual performances, lessons critical in predicting future market behaviors. Polyburg's continuous tracking of these dynamic opportunities underscores our technology's capability at identifying high-value insights—discover more about our methodology at https://polyburg.com/#faq.

HOW_POLYBURG_WORKS

Polyburg uses advanced AI & Machine Learning to track elite Polymarket traders and identify high-conviction opportunities before they become obvious to the market.

Our Methodology:

  • Monitor 99+ elite trader wallets in real-time using proprietary V3 ML algorithm
  • Track actual positions, win rates, and profit patterns across markets
  • Apply anti-bot filters to ensure only quality traders make our rankings
  • Reranks top smart wallets every 24hrs to focus on the hottest traders
  • Calculate conviction scores (1-10) based on position size, timing, and trader performance
  • Send instant Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders make significant moves

This alert came from tracking 0xb13d096b2e90411d0e5f4891d3sdlk2j3s322e90, one of the elite wallets in our monitoring system. Our system detected strong signals in their position on this market, sending the alert to subscribers on November 17, 2025 at 08:14 PM.

Learn More About Our Methodology →

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This case study is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Prediction markets involve substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research.

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