Polymarket Top Traders:
Who's Actually Winning?
The definitive leaderboard of Polymarket's most profitable traders. Real data, real win rates, real trade history — all verified on-chain.
Why the Leaderboard Matters
On Polymarket, every trade is on-chain. That means you can verify exactly who's making money and who's losing it. No self-reported P&L, no cherry-picked screenshots — just raw blockchain data.
Verified Performance
Every win rate and profit figure comes directly from on-chain data. No trader can inflate their record — the blockchain doesn't lie.
Skill vs. Luck
Our ranking formula (WR × ln(1+trades)) separates genuine skill from lucky streaks. You need both a high win rate AND consistent volume to rank.
Follow the Leaders
Get Telegram alerts when top-ranked traders enter new positions. Each alert includes conviction scoring so you know when they're making a high-confidence play.
How We Rank Traders
score = win_rate × ln(1 + total_trades)
# Example:
trader_a: 82% WR × ln(1 + 500) = 82% × 6.21 = 5.10
trader_b: 95% WR × ln(1 + 10) = 95% × 2.40 = 2.28
# trader_a ranks higher — consistent performance > small sample luck
What We Filter Out
- ✕High-frequency bots — over 20 trades/week (automated market makers, not real alpha)
- ✕Hedgers/arbitrageurs — traders who bet both YES and NO on the same market
- ✕Low sample size — fewer than 50 resolved positions
- ✕Inactive wallets — no trades in the last 30 days
What Remains
- ✓200+ verified wallets with proven track records
- ✓Full trade history — every position, entry price, and outcome
- ✓Category specializations — sports, politics, crypto, geopolitics
- ✓Real-time updates — rankings refresh daily
Every Trader Profile Includes
Click any trader on the leaderboard to see their full profile — no login required.
Win Rate & P&L
Overall win rate, total profit/loss, and performance over time.
Category Breakdown
How they perform across sports, politics, crypto, and more.
Full Trade History
Every position with entry price, outcome, and hold time.
Active Positions
What they're currently holding and their unrealized P&L.
Conviction Patterns
When they go big vs. when they place small exploratory bets.
On-Chain Verification
Direct link to their Polymarket profile to verify everything.
Polyburg vs. Other Leaderboards
| Feature | Polyburg | Polymarket Native | Other Analytics |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trader Profiles with Full History | ✅ 373 profiles | ❌ Basic only | ⚠️ Limited |
| Conviction Scoring (1-10) | ✅ Pro | ❌ | ❌ |
| Bot/Hedger Filtering | ✅ | ❌ Bots inflate rankings | ⚠️ Some |
| Real-Time Telegram Alerts | ✅ Free tier | ❌ | ⚠️ Paid only |
| Category Specialization Tags | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| Ranking Formula Transparency | ✅ Public formula | ❌ Opaque | ❌ |
| Active Position Tracking | ✅ | ✅ | ⚠️ Delayed |
| Copy Trading Signals | ✅ With conviction | ❌ | ⚠️ No scoring |
Start Following Top Traders
Browse the leaderboard, find traders who match your style, and get alerts when they make moves. Free forever on Essential.
Free: Unlimited basic alerts. Pro ($79/mo): Conviction scores + position sizing.
Frequently Asked Questions
How often is the leaderboard updated?
Rankings are recalculated daily based on all resolved positions. Active positions and current holdings update in near real-time.
Why don't you show profit in dollars?
Dollar P&L can be misleading — a trader risking $1M will naturally show higher absolute profits. Win rate and conviction-weighted returns are better measures of skill. That said, trader profiles do show total volume for context.
Can top traders see that I'm following them?
No. Polyburg monitors public on-chain data. Traders cannot see who is watching their positions or receiving alerts about their trades.
What if a top trader starts losing?
Rankings update daily. If a trader's win rate drops or they stop trading, they'll naturally fall in the rankings. Our expanding-window calculation means recent performance matters, but long-term consistency is rewarded.
Do I need to pay to see the leaderboard?
No. The full leaderboard and all trader profiles are free. Conviction scores and position sizing guidance require Pro ($79/month).