Polymarket Copy Trading:
Follow the Smart Money
Stop guessing. Get real-time Telegram alerts when top Polymarket traders place high-conviction bets. Each signal includes a conviction score so you know which trades are worth following.
Free tier available. No credit card required. Pro: $79/mo.
Why Copy Trading Works on Polymarket
Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain. Every trade, every position, every wallet is public. This transparency creates an unprecedented opportunity: you can see exactly what the best traders are doing — in real time.
On-Chain Transparency
Every Polymarket trade is recorded on Polygon. No hidden positions, no dark pools. When a top wallet buys 50,000 shares of “No” on an event, you see it within seconds.
Proven Track Records
Unlike stock trading where insiders hide positions, Polymarket's public nature lets you verify every trader's full history. Win rates, average bet sizes, category specializations — it's all auditable.
Speed Advantage
Markets move when smart money enters. Getting an alert within seconds of a top trader's entry — before the market price adjusts — gives you a real edge on entry price.
How Polyburg Copy Trading Works
We Monitor 200+ Top Wallets
Our system tracks the most profitable Polymarket wallets 24/7. Each wallet is scored and ranked based on historical win rate, trade volume, and consistency across categories.
Signal Detection & Conviction Scoring
When a tracked wallet places a new position, we calculate a conviction score (1-10) by comparing the position size against the trader's historical median bet. A score of 8+ means they're putting significantly more capital behind this trade than usual.
Instant Telegram Alert
You receive a real-time alert with: the market, the trader's position (YES/NO), entry price, conviction score, and the trader's historical win rate. Everything you need to make an informed decision in seconds.
You Decide, You Trade
Unlike auto-trading bots that execute blindly, Polyburg gives you the signal and the context. You decide which trades to follow based on conviction score, category, and your own analysis. Your money stays in your control.
Polyburg vs. Other Copy Trading Tools
| Feature | Polyburg | Generic Copy Bots | Manual Tracking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conviction Scoring (1-10) | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| Real-time Telegram Alerts | ✅ | ⚠️ Some | ❌ |
| 200+ Verified Wallets | ✅ | ⚠️ 10-50 | ⚠️ 1-5 |
| Trader Win Rate History | ✅ | ❌ | ⚠️ Manual |
| You Control Your Trades | ✅ | ❌ Auto-executes | ✅ |
| Position Sizing Guidance | ✅ Pro | ❌ | ❌ |
| Category Filtering | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| Free Tier Available | ✅ | ❌ $50-200/mo | ✅ Free but slow |
| Backtested Strategies | ✅ 80%+ WR | ❌ No data | ❌ |
What is a Conviction Score?
The secret weapon that separates smart copy trading from blind following.
trader_median_bet = historical median position size
current_bet = this position's size
ratio = current_bet / trader_median_bet
conviction_score = scale(ratio, 1-10)
# Score 8-10: Trader is betting 3-10x their usual size
# Score 5-6: Normal-sized bet for this trader
# Score 1-3: Smaller than usual — low conviction
Why It Matters
A trader who normally bets $500 suddenly placing a $5,000 position is telling you something. Our backtests show that high-conviction signals (7+) have significantly higher win rates than low-conviction ones. Following conviction, not just following wallets, is the edge.
The Sweet Spot
Our data shows the highest-performing signals come from top traders buying in the 30-55¢ price range with conviction scores of 7+. This means a proven trader sees value that the market hasn't fully priced in yet, and they're putting their money where their analysis is.
Backtested Copy Trading Strategies
We backtested 67 copy trading configurations over 5 months (Oct 2025 — Feb 2026) across 30,000+ positions. Here are the top performers.
Mid-Value Hunter
Follow top 25 traders buying at 30-55¢ with above-median conviction
High Conviction
Follow top 10 traders only when conviction is 7-10
Quick Flip
Follow top 25 traders, 1-day max hold, rapid capital cycling
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All backtests use 2% position sizing, $10K starting capital, and include 2% entry slippage. Strategies use expanding-window trader ranking with no look-ahead bias.
Why Alerts, Not Auto-Trading
🚫 The Problem with Auto-Trading Bots
- •They require your private keys or API access — a major security risk
- •They copy every trade blindly, including hedges and experimental positions
- •No conviction filtering — a $100 test bet gets the same weight as a $50K conviction play
- •Slippage compounds — by the time your bot executes, the price has already moved
✅ The Polyburg Approach
- •Your funds never leave your Polymarket wallet — zero custody risk
- •Conviction scoring filters noise — only see signals worth acting on
- •Hedger detection filters out traders with conflicting positions
- •You decide when to enter — choose your own price and timing
Get Started in 60 Seconds
Open the Bot
Click the button below to open Polyburg's Telegram bot. No signup, no email, no credit card.
Get Alerts
Immediately start receiving alerts when top wallets make moves. Free tier includes basic alerts across all categories.
Trade on Your Terms
See a high-conviction signal? Head to Polymarket and place your trade. Deposit USDC on any chain — no bridging required.
Free forever on Essential. Upgrade to Pro ($79/mo) for conviction scores and position sizing guidance.
Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need to give Polyburg access to my wallet?
No. Polyburg is a signal service, not a trading bot. We send you alerts via Telegram. You execute trades manually on Polymarket using your own wallet. We never touch your funds.
How fast are the alerts?
Alerts are sent within seconds of detecting an on-chain transaction from a tracked wallet. Speed depends on Polygon block times (~2 seconds) and our processing pipeline.
What’s the difference between Essential and Pro?
Essential (free) gives you unlimited basic alerts — you’ll see which wallets are trading and on which markets. Pro ($79/month) adds conviction scores (1-10), position sizing guidance, and curated watchlists of top-performing traders.
How do I deposit money into Polymarket?
Send USDC on any chain directly to your Polymarket wallet. No bridging to Polygon required — Polymarket handles the conversion automatically. Deposits are instant.
What’s the minimum to start trading?
On Polymarket, you can trade with as little as $1. However, we recommend starting with at least $100-500 to properly diversify across multiple signals. Position sizing of 2-5% per trade is optimal based on our backtests.
Can I filter alerts by category?
Yes. You can filter alerts by category (sports, politics, crypto, geopolitics, etc.), by trader, by conviction level, and by entry price range. Customize your alerts to match your expertise and risk appetite.
Ready to Copy the Smart Money?
Join thousands of traders using Polyburg to follow the best wallets on Polymarket. Free alerts, conviction scoring, and the data to trade with confidence.
Open Telegram Bot →