PolyburgPolymarket leaderboard, explained.
The Polymarket leaderboard ranks traders by lifetime profit. That's a starting point, not a signal. Here's what it measures, what it misses, and how Polyburg builds a sharper ranking.
Three signals, three caveats.
What the leaderboard showsLifetime profit
Total $ profit since the wallet's first trade. Easy to read, but biased toward wallets that took huge positions in early high-volatility markets.
Volume
Total $ traded. High volume can mean conviction OR market-making activity. Not always a quality signal on its own.
Markets resolved
How many resolved markets the wallet has touched. Useful for sample size, but the leaderboard counts wins and losses identically.
Three blind spots in the official ranking.
1 · Recency. Lifetime profit doesn’t tell you if a wallet has been hot or cold this quarter. A trader can sit on $1M of 2023 profit while bleeding capital this year.
2 · Sample-size adjustment. Two wallets with $200K profit aren’t equivalent if one made it across 500 markets and the other across 5. The leaderboard treats them the same.
3 · Bots and arbitrageurs. Market-making bots can rank highly on volume and even on profit. They’re not actionable signals. Copying them gets you the same spread, with extra steps.
Three filters that change everything.
1 · 90-day rolling ROI. We weight recent performance heavily. A wallet that’s up +60% in the last 90 days ranks above a wallet sitting on stale lifetime gains.
2 · Win rate × sample size. We require a minimum sample (50+ resolved markets) before a wallet shows on the leaderboard. Above that floor, win rate and ROI compose into a single edge score.
3 · Anti-bot heuristics. Pattern-matching on order timing, position sizing, and category breadth filters out market-makers and arbitrageurs automatically.
Frequently asked.
How is Polyburg's leaderboard different from Polymarket's?
How often does the ranking update?
Can I follow a specific wallet?
Rank by real edge.
200+ tracked wallets, 90-day rolling ROI, anti-bot filters. Free to browse.
Open the Polyburg leaderboard